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Home»Analysis»What Breaks The Gold Bull Market? WGC Reveals The ‘Warning Sign’ Hidden In The Data
Analysis

What Breaks The Gold Bull Market? WGC Reveals The ‘Warning Sign’ Hidden In The Data

By Kitco NEWSSeptember 29, 202641 Comments2 Mins Read
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Gold is trading near record territory, and silver is surging, but the real story is who controls the metal. For decades, price discovery has been dominated by London and New York. Today, physical demand in Asia, central bank accumulation, and sovereign wealth fund activity are forcing investors to ask if the marginal ounce is moving East.

In this interview, Kitco News Anchor Jeremy Szafron sits down with Joe Cavatoni from the World Gold Council to dissect the Q1 Gold Demand Trends report. Cavatoni breaks down the disconnect between Western ETF outflows and Eastern physical premiums, how the WGC tracks China’s unreported gold buying, and why central banks like Turkey are using gold swaps for emergency dollar liquidity. They also explore France’s recent gold mark-to-market strategy and the single recycling metric that could signal a top in the current gold bull market.

Recorded May 7 2026

Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron (
Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW (
Follow Joe Cavatoni on X: @JCavatoni_WGC (

0:00 Introduction
0:45 Is Price Discovery Moving East?
3:15 Western ETFs vs. Asian Physical Demand
4:50 Unwrought Gold Exports to London
6:10 China’s Unreported Gold Accumulation
9:55 Turkey’s 60-Tonne Sale & Gold Swaps Explained
12:20 France’s Mark-to-Market Gold Strategy
14:50 Will Western Investors Chase the Price?
19:25 What Breaks the Bull Market?
20:55 Washington D.C. on Critical Minerals
22:25 Silver’s Structural Deficit & Independence
23:55 Final Thoughts: Fear vs. Structural Change

#KitcoNews #Gold #Silver #WorldGoldCouncil #JoeCavatoni #Macroeconomics #Investing #CentralBanks #GoldETFs #Commodities
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The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.

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Post Views: 5
* Breaks Bull buy gold central bank gold China gold COMEX gold Critical Minerals data federal reserve France gold global economy Gold gold bull market gold demand gold ETFs Gold Investing gold market analysis gold news gold premiums gold price gold swaps Hidden inflation hedge interest rates jeremy szafron Joe Cavatoni kitco news London bullion market macro Market PBOC gold reserves physical gold precious metals Reveals Sign silver deficit silver price Turkey gold WARNING WGC World Gold Council
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    41 Comments

    1. @SilverSquirt on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      GAPPPPPP

      Reply
    2. @Melissawhite-j6l on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Thank you for your video….. The increasing price of gold and silver is bittersweet. Our financial system is becoming very unstable as is the world. If bonds are really starting to unwind, it’s a serious red flag for the broader economy. Gold has always been a safe haven, sure but in today’s world, crypto is becoming the modern version of that hedge. It’s decentralized, global, and not tied to the same fragile institutions that are cracking under pressure. I still respect gold, but let’s be honest Bitcoin has outperformed almost every asset over the past decade. Grow a Portfolio of around 87k to a decent 675k in the space of a few months.Thanks again, Linda Keichian for the regular insight&signals..

      Reply
    3. @kausikbasu7604 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      A lot of research for an alternative material to silver, by China & other nations / companies.
      Pls shed some light on this.

      Reply
    4. @АлексБедарев-х8ш on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      В британии хронить золото….😂😂😂😂😂это самые большие воры.

      Reply
    5. @Carlos_Leonardovich on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Very bad advice. IF YOU DON'T HOLD IT, YOU DON'T OWN IT.
      Just look at Venezuela's gold… oh, and ARGENTINA's!!!

      Reply
    6. @CarlSpackler-e4d on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Gold is no different that any other asset in this regard. People who are pumping it are talking their book.

      Reply
    7. @jay-by1se on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      The entire financial system is collapsing.. and these guys are on here telling you to sell your gold. I just swing by to see the current manipulation for the week.

      Reply
    8. @peterbedford2610 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      US stock market at 220% of GDP. Highest ever, by a lot

      Reply
    9. @BLake71988 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Central banks are net buyers and are long on both gold and silver these are people that shorted the market for 50 years now all the sudden everybody is long on the market and everybody is calling for $300 why are they doing that because the comex and the ldma are set to fail if you have your money and paper contracts you are going to be left holding paper contracts gold and silver are set to decouple

      Reply
    10. @robertcharron749 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Conflict between USA and Iran keeps gold out of resuming its purpose.

      Reply
    11. @BLake71988 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Nothing is going to break the bull market because Chinese are now settling their silver contracts in Gold that means a gold and silver correlation in the east are tying gold to Silver once again together that means no more 50/60 120 to 1 it's going to settle around 25 to 1:00 and even if gold is only at 6500 when it does it you're looking at $750 silver

      Reply
    12. @JamesH-j9d on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      👍🏾👍🏾👍🏾

      Reply
    13. @IratusPoetaInvicta on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      How come the COMEX gold and silver price rise more in the middle of the night when the Chinese are using a different system ? They don''t use it.

      Reply
    14. @Rudolf100 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Viva Trump

      Reply
    15. @ricardomasiero-s1l on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Big players want data transparency. Caarden’s ecosystem is built to deliver that.

      Reply
    16. @SebastienGendron-h8g on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Thank you for your video….. The increasing price of gold and silver is bittersweet. Our financial system is becoming very unstable as is the world. If bonds are really starting to unwind, it’s a serious red flag for the broader economy. Gold has always been a safe haven, sure but in today’s world, crypto is becoming the modern version of that hedge. It’s decentralized, global, and not tied to the same fragile institutions that are cracking under pressure. I still respect gold, but let’s be honest Bitcoin has outperformed almost every asset over the past decade. Grow a Portfolio of around 125k to a decent 775k in the space of a few months.Thanks again, Linda Keichian for the regular insight&signals..

      Reply
    17. @memirandawong on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      "…higher beta expression…"??? Well, that went straight over my head.

      Reply
    18. @memirandawong on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Fiat currency: If you hold it you don't own it.

      Reply
    19. @GordonAnderson-c6m on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Gold going up!

      Reply
    20. @cy4330 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Same story. Asians rally; USA banks crash it.

      Reply
    21. @larissaplummer-u7k on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Your absolute ticket to generational wealth is the SPCX20B presale. Be sure to avoid missing out!

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    22. @markdamon6696 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Way too many bots in these comments

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    23. @stratcaptain66 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Buy precious metal and you should be just fine, never mind the bull and bear predictions. Get rid of fiat whenever and wherever possible.

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    24. @sonofsarek on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      14:00 "if your gold is held by the Bank of England, you should feel confident that your gold is held appropriately"
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    25. @DaveMikeHasslehuff on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      14:40 That is pure bovine manure. 100% there is risk and there are facts and events that proved this.

      Reply
    26. @unimportantdocuments on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      gold! thanks

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    27. @holaclive on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      China started buying gold in 1983, bought the wests divestment during the bear market, still buying today, 43 years. Just from mining(leading producer) they have 8,000 tonnes, no gold leaves China.
      They have up to 30,000 tonnes.
      Well prepared for new financial system, and for new financial centre of world

      Reply
    28. @ivanrios4380 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Dub the vídeo please

      Reply
    29. @Koichi-y3r on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      People want physical Not paper

      Reply
    30. @hamakua484 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Chinese citizens, on average, buy gold as a long-term safe investment from all different fiat currency debasement, even the Yuan. The Chinese government encouraged this since 2002.

      In the West it is an interest-rate play. Very short-term thinking. The West is changing but China and its citizens will be sitting on a huge amount of gold; not to mention the rest of Asia.

      The West will be sitting on tons of fiat currency being debased daily. The West is better in other hard assets but less so in gold especially audited and not hypothecated gold.

      Is all your gold audited and unhypothegated. In a major meltdown can they just give you a cash settlement at their chosen value or go broke. Ask your AI.

      Reply
    31. @ty-l5w9b on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Wish they’ll just carve out a small island for our big bro make him king and supreme leader over there and fill the island with everything he loves, wants, and desires, thrones, crowns and all. So he will leave this stock market alone, to trade purely on macro and technicals. We have enough land mass to carve out something for him.

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    32. @Goldengod111 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Trump killed the usa $

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    33. @chrischong6211 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Mining companies are the suckers in this paper market and why would they want to sell in a manipulated market like Comex. They will gravitate to the market that gives them a better price unless their controlling shareholders are banks.

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    34. @eugeniebreida on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Couldn’t focus, too verbose, please get your bullet points up front, not droning us thru a half hour conversation, with the style of a guy like this. Thanks Kitco – sometimes we Just Need to get to the Point (of your title/why we clicked).

      Reply
    35. @Mr.1oz.Buffalo on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      If we hypethetic 1 oz of gold 10 ways Springs the price of gold down why do these paper investors keep doing it they are not making money they're losing money the more people that jump into the paper Market. Take the physical who cares how heavy it is. Grow some muscles and lift your money

      Reply
    36. @hamakua484 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      It was a smart move by the French by bringing the last of its gold in the US to France. It was even smarter to sell the US non-standard legacy bars in the US and buy current standard gold bars from London. LGBs are universally liquid. Touché!

      Reply
    37. @alejandravallejo-y7v on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Why does $SPAX21K feel like the only coin actually moving up when everything else is flat?

      Reply
    38. @mleparson on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      I’m holding !!SPAX21K!! ugly, through noise, through dips, whatever

      Reply
    39. @patriciarandall-r2b on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      Amazon might integrate !!SPAX21K!! into their system, is this the start of a rally?

      Reply
    40. @thesonofit on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      What gold bull market? Is this a joke?? In 2026 it's just another speculative commodity.

      Reply
    41. @riksanyr8494 on September 29, 2026 7:26 pm

      This kind of content often leans toward:

      👉 “There’s hidden risk → therefore big event coming”

      But in reality:

      Gold leasing/swaps have existed for decades
      They’re part of normal central banking operations
      No clear evidence of imminent breakdown

      Reply
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