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Home»Analysis»Silver Pullback or Breakdown? The Chart Lines That Decide | Gary Wagner
Analysis

Silver Pullback or Breakdown? The Chart Lines That Decide | Gary Wagner

By Kitco NEWSMay 17, 2026Updated:June 3, 202646 Comments3 Mins Read
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As the Bloomberg Commodity Index rebalancing kicks off a 5-day “mechanical shakeout” in the markets, Silver is under pressure while Gold refuses to break structure. Is this the start of a deep correction, or a massive trap for short sellers?

In this technical analysis deep dive, Gary Wagner of TheGoldForecast.com joins Jeremy Saffron to separate the noise from the trend. Wagner argues that despite the volatility, we have not seen a “true” technical correction (23%+) in months. He breaks down why the current price action is just a “tiny dip” in a supersonic bull market and issues a stark warning to traders betting against the trend: shorting here is like “standing on a train track with a train barreling down at 80mph.”

Gary maps out the critical support levels that must hold this week—specifically the “line in the sand” for Silver at $71—and explains why hitting $5,000 Gold in 2026 is now a “walk in the park.”

Recorded January 8 2025

Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron (
Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW (
Follow Gary Wagner on X: @goldforecast (

00:00 Intro & Market Programming Note
01:11 Gary Wagner Interview: The Grounded Playbook
01:36 The 5-Day Rebalancing Shakeout
01:47 Is Silver Crashing? Correction Analysis
02:07 Gold Price Strength & “Anchor” Levels
02:47 Technical Analysis: Gold & Silver Charts
03:33 “Buy The Dip” Strategy & Market Sentiment
09:45 Geopolitics & Global Economic Risks
11:03 Gold Price Forecast & Stability (2026 Targets)
18:00 Why Central Banks Are Buying Gold
18:50 Bull Market Sentiment & Risk Management
20:00 Conclusion & Next Week’s Coverage

#Silver #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #GaryWagner #KitcoNews #SilverPrice #GoldChart #Commodities #Investing #Economy #GoldPricePrediction

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The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.

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BCOM rebalancing Bloomberg Commodity Index breakdown buy the dip Chart commodities market Decide financial news Gary Gary Wagner gold breakout gold price prediction gold vs silver index rebalancing Investing jeremy szafron Kitco News Lines market analysis precious metals Pullback Silver silver chart Silver Crash Silver forecast 2026 silver news today Silver Price silver price prediction today silver squeeze silver support levels silver technical analysis silver volatility the gold forecast Wagner Вардан Гукасян -2026
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    46 Comments

    1. @kitco on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      We are only on Day 1 of this 5-day rebalancing window, and the volatility is already hitting the market. While the screens are red, "insider" sources suggest this is mechanical selling rather than structural damage.

      Question for the community: With Silver testing the mid-$70s, do you view this as a "Clearance Sale" opportunity, or are you waiting for the dust to settle next week? Let us know your targets below.

      (Programming Note: The Kitco News team will be off next week as coverage moves to the industry event in Saudi Arabia. Use the levels in this video to navigate the week ahead!)

      Reply
    2. @davidwivagg7393 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      One analyst had said that the gold price of 33000 would be similar in some way to the previous experience relative to something.

      Reply
    3. @davidwivagg7393 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      To myself, the use of the derivatives is unnecessary if you do pay attention daily to the markets, because these would be equivalent, but for a fee.

      Reply
    4. @davidwivagg7393 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      A correction does presume that we do believe in the technical analysis of the market. That is different from the fundamental analysis of the market.

      Reply
    5. @davidwivagg7393 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      So you do presume that the subject of money and wealth shall not be explained.

      Reply
    6. @camb942 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Very accurate analysis!

      Reply
    7. @RobertojavierSilvaharth-ub3pz on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      There is a fight to the death at the Comex today in an attempt to prevent the crossing of the $100 mark on the spot market…

      Reply
    8. @RobertojavierSilvaharth-ub3pz on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Today's market corrections in Silver are simply a slowdown on the rate of price increase. However, it is not Silver increasing it's value but fiat money loosing it!
      Hold on to your Silver!!

      Reply
    9. @bengle_tiger on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      This aged like milk

      Reply
    10. @jamesdangoor on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      11 Days, Kitco! Is Jeremy partying hard in the ABC Islands? Go & dig him out.

      Reply
    11. @NikolaiWashington-j4c on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      You heard it here. $5,000 gold by the end of the year. Well, duh. More like $7,000. Wagner is like a fish out of water for some reason.

      Reply
    12. @baobo67 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      20 mins talk saying nothing we do not all ready know. Explerts Exmerts,

      Reply
    13. @Retiredlineman on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      I’m still buying. Keep stacking

      Reply
    14. @mic2349 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      At least two more years of price increases in sliver and gold.

      Reply
    15. @FuturestraderALGO on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      102$ then 20$ down

      Reply
    16. @onur6299 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Gary must show up more offen and regularly. Like twice a month

      Reply
    17. @andrewwickham4642 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Hey Jeremy, Think it’s time to cut Gary loose… It’s like watching a rubber band get into a knot. I think gold is going to $ $17,012.50……. 🎉 I just can’t tell you when…

      Reply
    18. @WTHH2 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Only in the paper trade.

      Reply
    19. @allenchilaxin4322 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Don't sell, most of the silver is gone and not coming back , give it time.

      Reply
    20. @valfortkamp4576 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      I appreciate the guest today.
      But regarding the politics of it and Venezuela. He's not very well informed. Venezuela had interfered with elections in multiple countries with their Dominion and smart way technology. So a big reason why we went in and snapped. This dictator was because of Venezuela's election interference.
      Also, there was a bounty put on this man's head by the Biden administration
      Also, there was a bounty of $25 million put on this man's head by the Biden administration
      And this Venezuelan dictator was offered multiple deals to cooperate and resolve the issues and he failed to accept any offers.

      Also, he has ruined the Venezuelan government economics and social opportunities for the citizens of the country. Venezuela has reset their economy three times since about 2007 so under Chavez and under this guy. Y'all need to do some research before speaking on Tic's, please politics, politics politics.

      Reply
    21. @sebpintea on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      This is so much nicer than the previous version. Please continue with this style mr Gold

      Reply
    22. @7777maesteg on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Interviewer always wears the same suit, but Gary changes his clothes! 😂

      Reply
    23. @youretheai7586 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      The dude sounds as drunk as a skunk. Lol

      Reply
    24. @IratusPoeta on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Silver pullback? It is a $ off it's all time high.

      Reply
    25. @ivanrios4380 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      DUB the videos please

      Reply
    26. @simonlaw9234 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Jezza. Gazza. Happy New Year.

      Reply
    27. @PedroPlckle on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Wagner is in the same boat as Soloway waiting for their $3,600 pullback in Gold.
      Hope they get it😆

      Reply
    28. @manikh1796 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      He is one if best accurates

      Reply
    29. @user-nz7hd4on2g9k on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Gold 🥇 Soon 5000

      Reply
    30. @whoisjohngalt2704 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Silver's not going anywhere at developed a new platform of 50 to $60 keep stacking keep stacking don't listen to any of these talking heads..

      Reply
    31. @bradical2723 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Holy drunk

      Reply
    32. @stevenroberts9380 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Gotta Love Gary. So well educated on the subject, and calls the probabilities so very well. I hope we get a healthy correction soon so I can go back in strong

      Reply
    33. @dougrobertson555 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Pinch your nose and CHUG.

      Reply
    34. @dougrobertson555 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Yawl will be buying silver well past 100, 150+.
      Believe it or not

      Reply
    35. @kayounlocked on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Wake up everyone, Its Vampires buying up all silver.

      Reply
    36. @8KilgoreTrout4 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Are we going to see Jeremy with a beard when he gets back from Saudi Arabia? Hahahah enjoy your trip, brother.

      Reply
    37. @zavelazer8167 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Silver is required for all current and future technology. International multi-billion dollar corporations like tesla, Samsung, Microsoft, Nvidia and apple will not stop buying at any price. They must have metal to make their product. If there is a correction they will just snap it all up and take delivery at the reduced rate. That spells physical default and possibly force majure for comex. 5k silver would mean a 50 dollar rise in the cost of a new phone. Nobody will stop buying phones. Also f**k gold it is held by the banksters and globalist elites that are ruining our world. They want you to believe in golds value so that when their system breaks they can retain control. If you trust the pedophile elite then hold gold like them. If you want a new free fair system then buy silver. Only physical silver in your hand. No paper and no third parties between you and your metal. If you dont hold it you dont own it.

      Reply
    38. @weekendhacker912 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      This isnt grandpa's stock market anymore. The only thing theyve ever seen move like this is crypto.

      Reply
    39. @ATX1235 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      There is no major correction except going up. Going down is not a correction. The vocabulary needs to change.

      Reply
    40. @FreshMelodic on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      ❤❤❤❤

      Reply
    41. @goldanalystuk1072 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Wow he said hes advising others which is crazy considering he does not understand that market corrections can be either by price or time. Gold went sideways for weeks, that is a correction! How does he get so much airtime?

      Reply
    42. @d.cad1529 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      SAMURAI!!!

      Reply
    43. @mustang19ms on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Please Gary, don't talk about politics.. "mature superpower"? really?

      Reply
    44. @donsterattonysmuzik1342 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      FammGary, although media and judiciary protected and negated 2020 conservative allegations of interference, there are analogies in data records that show other countries and entities manipulated outcomes in the cyber and paper oriented spheres. This systems wide capable anomalies were hidden and then interference in judicial decelaration and political control of narratives as lawfare. The heart of all that has moved worldwide polotical mismanagement and misrepresentation was developed, started and executed in BZ, under Chavez. Among other reasons into thats why the US is justified in lieu of the damage caused by an attempted socialist take iver of the US.

      Reply
    45. @darinthesecularspiritualist on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      This dude is so so horrible on silver….. bye felicia

      Reply
    46. @nickoutram6939 on May 17, 2026 12:46 pm

      Gold is going to $6k+ this year.
      Silver ‘well north of $100’.
      The miners will shock and awe.

      Reply
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