“This Will Get Really Bad…” – Ted Oakley
Ted Oakley, managing partner of Oxbow Advisors with 48+ years of market experience, warns that markets are extremely expensive at 23x future earnings while the economy is flatlining. He expects coming Fed rate cuts to be an Arthur Burns-style policy mistake, creating a window to sell long bonds before higher structural inflation takes hold over the next 5-10 years.
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CREDIT:
TED OAKLEY:
Oxbow Advisors: https://oxbowadvisors.com/
Twitter (@Oxbow_Advisors):
/ oxbow_advisors
YouTube:
/ @oxbowadvisors
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4 Comments
A rise in prices DOES NOT equal inflation…at least not in and of itself. In a market economy, supply and demand determine the value or price of something. Either of these two factors will raise or lower the price. This is NOT inflation. Inflation is something else and this video does not address it. Inflation is the ratio of money supply to the gross national income. The Federal Reserve Bank can and does regulate the supply of money by printing more or less of it and this is the factor that causes inflation, deflation or stability in prices. Economic policies determine the goals desired by the Fed and thus the money supply is manipulated to achieve the desired effect.My advice to anyone feeling the heat in this inflation, just trade long term more than ever, I have made over 540k from day trading with Elyse Charlot Barker in few weeks, this is not a bad alternate during this crash.
The financial world has changed. Foreigners no longer want to buy U.S. debt. The U.S. government no longer has the influence over world events it once had. The U.S. economy is much weaker than the government will admit. Globalization is over now and our dependence on other countries for resources puts us at risk. Other countries have decided gold not the U.S. dollar will be the measure of value going forward. The dollar will still be around but the fact that it can be printed into oblivion means its only going to be thought of as a means of exchange not a store of value. The decade to come will be extremely difficult for the American people as government tries to adapt to the new financial realities to come.
The financial wor
saying "america's has too much debt" worth very little nowadays. As a real-life example, there was a guy who wrote "The Dollar Collapse and how to profit from it" book, he was wrong for 15 years, and finally he ended up selling his website to someone, because he never got his claimed profits. Same thing will happen to all inflationistas , "investors" who bought into assets like gold and oil, driven by greed (and not real analysis of economics) on supposed crash of US dollar, but it ain't happening. They never read about the "triffin dillemma" which states that US dollar doesn't belong to USA. So, they will learn this lesson on their own skin (own losses) , instead of studying economics from ChatGPT/books.