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Home»Analysis»The One Signal That Matters for Gold and Silver Right Now | David Morgan
Analysis

The One Signal That Matters for Gold and Silver Right Now | David Morgan

By Kitco NEWSOctober 13, 202647 Comments3 Mins Read
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Silver veteran David Morgan debunks the COMEX default narrative, reveals why wholesale dealers are flooded with metal and why that is actually bullish, and names the one bond market signal that says the monetary reset is getting close.

David Morgan — publisher of The Morgan Report and author of The Silver Manifesto — breaks down the structural divide in the silver market right now. Wholesale retail dealers are sitting on excess supply while commercial bars remain tight. The COMEX default story that has circulated for a decade has never materialized, and the objective inventory data from 2022 through 2025 proves it. Meanwhile, what silver did at $50 — stalling for seven trading days before exploding to $120 — is the exact same psychological setup investors should expect at $100.

Morgan also addresses Hong Kong’s July gold clearing rollout designed to rival London, the copper substitution threat to solar demand and why it is not a near-term driver, the energy cost squeeze separating royalty companies from miners, and why his number one signal for precious metals before year-end is not the silver price — it is the bond market.

Recorded May 21 2026

─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN IN THIS INTERVIEW
─────────────────────────────────────────

• Why the COMEX silver default argument is fundamentally wrong — and what the actual inventory data shows from 2022 to 2025
• What the 2008 financial crisis tells us about silver in a credit contraction — silver rose 500% vs gold’s 300% from the bottom
• Why dealers running out of storage space from silver sellbacks is actually a bullish structural signal
• The $50 psychological stall and exactly what to expect when silver tests $100 again
• Hong Kong’s July gold clearing system and why Eastern pricing power is a structural shift not a cycle
• Why solar copper substitution cannot happen at the speed the market is pricing in
• Silver price inelasticity — why industry will bid up to almost any price rather than go out of business
• Why royalty and streaming companies are insulated from rising energy costs in ways direct miners are not
• The one signal David Morgan is watching before year-end — and why he says it is getting close

─────────────────────────────────────────
CHAPTERS
─────────────────────────────────────────

00:00 Data Over Hype
01:22 Macro Credit Crunch Setup
01:58 How Silver Acts in Crises
03:47 Liquidity Lessons From 2008
04:58 Retail Sellbacks and Price Walls
08:03 Industrial Demand and Stockpiling
11:09 Asia Imports and Accumulation
12:34 Signals From ETFs and COMEX
13:55 COMEX Default Myth Debunked
19:11 What to Watch Instead
19:46 Price Discovery and Volatility
21:04 Deficits Then vs Now
23:26 Silver Price Elasticity
24:24 Industrial Demand Inelasticity
25:51 Hong Kong Gold Challenge
27:55 Silver Institutional Bid
29:41 Solar Substitution Debate
31:56 Energy Costs and Mining Equities
36:45 Who Sells Silver at $100?
39:20 The Ultimate Bond Market Signal
42:12 Silver Sunrise and Final Thoughts

#SilverPrice #DavidMorgan #KitcoNews #GoldPrice #PreciousMetals
__________________________________________________________________

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    47 Comments

    1. @kitco on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Here is what David Morgan said in this interview that you will not hear anywhere else:

      📌 The COMEX default narrative is wrong — and has been wrong for a decade. Inventory from 2022 to 2025 is almost a flat line. Most "deliveries" are bank to bank, staying in the same warehouse with a different tag. Morgan's words: "It's just the pea under the walnut moving around."

      📌 Wholesale dealers are running out of shelf space from retail sellbacks right now. The retail physical market is not tight — the commercial bar market is. Two completely different markets.

      📌 Silver stalled at $50 for seven trading days before breaking out to $120. Morgan expects the same psychological stall at $100. Not a reversal — a stall. Watch for it.

      📌 China and India silver imports have both hit records recently. Morgan's sources in Asia are using the word "hoard" for future use.

      📌 His single signal before year-end: the bond market. If rates get cut and the bond market ignores it — institutional trust is breaking down.

      Timestamps are in the description. Drop your questions below.

      — Kitco News

      Reply
    2. @rayng4336 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      We need more smelters in the US, not more coin shops! The backlogs in smelters are just insane!!!!!!!

      Reply
    3. @korsi500 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Those closing remarks were so awesome and spiritual. Great question Jeeemy and wonderful answer David. It does take spirituality to be able to breath step back and start making decisions about a life outside of the government and banks. These are not spiritual programs!

      Reply
    4. @korsi500 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      The best question structural alignment is right! He who owns the gold runs the system. We better hope we still own some when this system goes down!

      Reply
    5. @kn9ioutom on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      GOLD AND SILVER ARE REAL MONEY !!!

      Reply
    6. @pardeeptandon3023 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Check if Russia has bought a large quantity of silver?

      Reply
    7. @TheZooman22 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Regardless of the current spot price i dont see real silver bullion and coins selling at auction at melt. The consensus seems to be around $75.

      Reply
    8. @idstandard on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Another great one, Jeremey

      Reply
    9. @alansonchurch3000 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Other moderators should watch KITCO. Jeremy Szafron does NOT OVER TALK, his guests. Questions given, answers taken, accepted OR discussed further to improve clarity about the subject!

      Reply
    10. @alansonchurch3000 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      KITCO Best financial news summaries! Jeremy, best moderator!
      Many thanks!!

      Reply
    11. @seaserpent836 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      BS

      Reply
    12. @chondrinenigma on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      I have no comment on the substance of the discussion, but David Morgan could do with a better microphone. As soon as he's not talking at full volume, he goes muffled.

      Reply
    13. @cakeofthepan2233 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Dude you gotta lose the Pete Hegseth hair do.

      Reply
    14. @Melissa_mychannel on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      🎉 Thank you for the information 🎉

      Reply
    15. @JimBrown-c7l on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      The day we replace silver in industry is the day that silver becomes just like gold if not better and becomes the monetary asset because quite frankly the only reason why I'm gold is the central bank's most choicest metal is is the fact that it's not used intensely in the economy on a structurally strategic high level security level status so then silver will just join gold in that ranks as money and actually more Superior than gold silver will not become obsolete I'm good eventually in due time become money as it becomes too expensive to use an industry….. same as gold

      Reply
    16. @JimBrown-c7l on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      😢 David Morgan never pointed out the Monopoly of the silver Institute members and other type of monopolistic members and I've been following him since day one… well I've been following him since at least 2010 and he's never pointed out to this parasitic organization such as the Silver Institute and he's been to a lot of their meetings and he was their being interviewed by the yellow camboni from Kitco and nobody pointed to this parasitic Monopoly system that is actually put a new surround on our necks to the worst degree now than most almost any time in modern history

      Reply
    17. @silvertoothpick8002 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      3:15 There it is

      Reply
    18. @richardcurran9346 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Great

      Reply
    19. @mattmadden3716 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Comex is defaulting…..any minute now….here it comes….ok well maybe next month

      Reply
    20. @RedKrawler on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Imagine thinking the price of Silver Wont drop in Deflationary Senario. 😅😂😂😂😂😂😂

      Reply
    21. @soullama7237 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      People will get shocked with new gold price soon.

      Reply
    22. @roddyb on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      "If it matters"? Then why does it take 46 mins to get the information out. This video needs massive editing.

      Reply
    23. @Sarahm61919 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      The guy speaks in an annoying unclear way. He speaks like he has had a stroke. I usually love the guests on the show. This guy was just annoying to listen to

      Reply
    24. @hamakua484 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      It will be a great day when Singapore and HK physical markets can handle all the silver miners ' hedges. Hong Kong physical silver market will probably not be at scale until 2028 or 2029. Singapore, even better, may be after that. Most miners are made to paper hedge to get necessary loans from bullion banks.

      Reply
    25. @henrynlouisville1 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      40:04 "Are you out of your mind?" = This is the most important sentence of this entire video = The dollar has lost 77% of it's purchasing power in just the last 15 years per the 'real' inflation rate average over those 15 years.

      Reply
    26. @Vintagerestorationmotorcycles on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      I bought silver back in 2012 I missed out on 10X gains on Stocks like Apple I can’t wait for silver to get over 100 so I can sell all of this fucking shit never have to listen to people like David Morgan , or anyone else again.

      Reply
    27. @KI6YNZ on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Stay contrarian to Wall Street and you’ll be fine.

      Reply
    28. @KS999-q6q on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Where can we watch silver sunrise

      Reply
    29. @alil3602 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      I like David Morgan's common sense approach. Great interview, thank you.

      Reply
    30. @CC-uq4hu on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      David must be reading my mind😂electronics stockpilers!

      Reply
    31. @PeterSparkes-l9d on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Silver will go to 120 soon then around 200+ gold will go to 8000 soon then ten thousand silver and gold have been money for thousands of years paper money will burn soon Trump will have a new digital dollar back up with gold the first time since Nixon days

      Reply
    32. @PedroPlckle on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      So if most of the latest Jan arbitrage has now mostly gone to China, London must now hold much less than it did before it moved it to the US on the tariffs, last year… LBMA now has less…
      How do they get it back if there's another silver rush for ETFs?… That will cause another hike in price, me thinks…💰

      Reply
    33. @arhurbenton on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      David Morgan is a LIAR. He said there was no silver deficit and the shops are overflowing whereas FACT is, we had a silver deficit for five years.

      Reply
    34. @DanTheManGruen on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      So everyone convinced me to buy at the worst time. Just in time for a “dull summer”. Thanks for nothing.

      Reply
    35. @lecaprice2572 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      “Trading silver is like going on a blind date with a psychotic lady.”

      Reply
    36. @Dyston-wtz on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      David doesn’t give any predictions on price and he’s carful about exposing the truth . It’s all a racket like everything.

      Reply
    37. @ОлегКарпов-е7ж on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      They teach teenagers how to write a resume but never show them how compound interest quietly destroys their future. Reading Smart Broke Dumb Rich by Zor Veyl was the first time I learned whose side the bank is really on.

      Reply
    38. @сергеймиков-м1д on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Three months after reading Smart Broke Dumb Rich by Zor Veyl my whole language around money changed. I stopped saying I cant afford that and started asking why I cant afford that. That tiny shift is already opening new doors.

      Reply
    39. @MrSilco-m8i on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      I used to believe rich people were lucky or corrupt. After reading Smart Broke Dumb Rich by Zor Veyl I see it is mostly financial literacy. The kind they deliberately keep out of schools so regular people stay stuck.

      Reply
    40. @kolon5 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      I always saw myself as the responsible type. Paid bills early, worked hard, saved a bit every month. After reading Smart Broke Dumb Rich by Zor Veyl I realized I was just a well behaved poor person following rules made to keep me there forever.

      Reply
    41. @MiraEnterprises-z4u on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      This guy is paid off. The $$$ will collapse.

      Reply
    42. @DrawkD2 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Anyone else worried about silver after this?

      Reply
    43. @catmelvin997 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      40:00 why isnt the M1 a good indicator no more?

      Reply
    44. @Captain_Millet on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Excellent interview of a very knowledgeable expert. Thanks Jeremy.

      Reply
    45. @darinthesecularspiritualist on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      For every 1 ounce silver minted, 1.25 ounces get consumed. David i adore the comex morgan says this is fine and the deficit is imaginary

      Reply
    46. @markmarco2880 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      Informative article. ✨

      Reply
    47. @kohyangchi4307 on October 13, 2026 8:05 pm

      You 'vd WASTED 23 Minutes
      Of My Prime Time 😡 🗣️💦

      Reply
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