“Severe Recession Coming…” – John Rubino
John’s substack: https://rubino.substack.com China deal is too late. Your cash will evaporate as a historical recession would require a monetary reset.
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CREDIT:
John Rubino (https://rubino.substack.com/)
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25 Comments
Thanks!
Interesting lecture, my business is connected to housing , we make the tools that help create the wood trim that goes into homes , tool makers, essentially , I just did the numbers for August and honestly we had the best month ever, since opening in 2001, it’s anecdotal I get it but the numbers are what they are, that said our eBay and Amazon sales are down, they have been down since the heyday of covid when everyone was doing woodworking in their garage, the hobbyist and weekend warrior customers are pulling back, that’s for sure but the high end professionals are still transacting. Still I am cautious and worry about the possible recession pressures on the horizon
Real inflation is extremely high. Housing won't come down because we are already very inflated. The problem is that the US government are putting out bullshit statistics.
I think it's been stall tactic after stall tactic in hopes of new industry to keep society in order. The GND wasn't the answer and ubi started as pilot program to see how it went. The real deal i think is a fraction of people are working, the rest are subsidized and illusion
No more foreign fools to subsidize us government and swallow inflation. Chickens come home to roost, so to speak.
Largest ever global Ponzi scheme is about to collapse.
Purchase power is going down, no doubt about it. Exponentially.
Deregulated usury since 80s, the bomb that Reagan (by the way, ex Hollywood actor) put under american economy amplified further by massive tax cuts. So now, it logically trickled 180 degrees wrong way, and about to explode. Trump, or so it seams, wants to shorten the bomb fuse. Fuse getting shorter and shorter.
Live in a crappy apartment rest of my life
Communism in reverse
I’d like to know where all this borrowed money went. I think it’s been padding these corrupt politicians wallets for their cushy retirement.
It makes more sense to me for the government to steer us into inflation.
We are in what as been called a Rolling Recession. By the time the government says where in a recession will be in a depression.
I think the stock market will go sideways or down just slightly over the next 6 months. I'm hopeful there won't be anymore interest rate increases. The restart of student loan payments should be more than enough to get inflation in check. Personally, I think student loan payments should have resumed a year and a half ago. We probably could have avoided a lot of the inflation that has occurred over that time. It may have even been "transient" inflation as many were calling it back then. Early/mid 2024, interest rates should start dropping and the stock market will head to the moon. when news gets bearish start buying. "Keep it simple" that bear/ correction was the best thing that happened me. <But all thanks to Elric Jorven for his amazing skills for helping me to earn 13.6 Btc through trading chart. I believe we are in the spring phase…
Can anyone name one, just one….yeah one, HONEST POLITICIAN?
People haven't yet come to grips with the fact that the standard of living is declining for most people. The generation of the last 30 years has expectations that are completely unrealistic. Some of we boomers never had that. We came into adulthood during one of the worst economic times the country has ever had. Jobs hard to come by, interest rates through the roof, unaffordable housing prices, you name it. But, we accepted it. Didn't mean we liked it, though. But for those lucky to have parents that taught us we were owed nothing by life, we made do. We both served in the Air Force during the VietNam mess. My wife and I paid 13% interest on the mobile home we lived in for 11 years. We put off having kids that first 11 years. I started a construction business that took 7 years to really get going. Tough early adulthood, but it made for ingrained lessons that benefited us all the rest of our lives…like do NOT borrow money except for things that earn more than they cost…EVER. Do NOT spend money for nothing but boosting your ego, or because spending is fun. Now, without the benefit of an education beyond high school, we're in great shape, with a high quality of life, and few worries, and comfortable home, in Idaho, with 3 acres, a big shop, and pasture to rent out. The house is over 100 years old, and I drive a 2001 Dodge diesel I bought new…now with 400,000 miles on it, but we're really happy. We made good decisions along our path. People should learn from us. You can be happy with a low standard of living, but you can't be happy with a low quality of life…and they are usually opposites.
If that were true then why did most of the borrowing happen during 0 interest rates the lower the rate the more people borrow
I've just started learning about value investing. Also investing in S&P 500, I've found that many good stocks are undervalued despite their intrinsic value. If you had $200,000 to create a strong investment portfolio which stocks would you choose for better returns??
Trump is the king of debts. Conservative my233.
in short. we are in for a show.
The clown 🤡 trump economy.
excessive debt gets everyone even governments
If you take financial chicanery out of the system we’ve been in recession for 20 years or more
The banks will never allow a law against borrowing, they run the world and will never allow the cash cow of interest payments to stop, people have been killed over this
Recession started when businesses started laying off in mass in 2022 and continued into 2023 and havent slowed down since in fact they are picking up again , by the end of this year beginni g of 2026 , we will be in the great depression 2.0
Recession started MAY 2024. Projected to bottom in 2028. (Based on elliot wave)