“Bond Market In Trouble” – Jim Bianco
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CREDIT:
Jim Bianco
Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter: @biancoresearch (https://twitter.com/biancoresearch)
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7 Comments
How old is this? “We could see rate cuts coming in July“?
Real impact of Tariffs will not be realized for next 6-9 months. Major companies purchased in advance and stocked up to avoid immediate impact in their business and margins. Only time will tell !
If the fed funds rate follows the ten-year bond, rates are somewhat high. The question is, will the 30-year bond stand for cuts? Your birth rates point also means less demand for cars, houses, on and on
The real risk is not when the FFR is 1% and the 10 year is 6.5%, it when the FFR is 1% and T-Bills are 6.5%. That's the nightmare scenario and that's the direction we're headed.
Deport, deport, deport, deport
Again you're completely right about cutting spending but there's nobody with any balls to do it Trump included.. nobody wants the music to stop on their watch. I've always said we should have taken our medicine after 2008 but we didn't so forget it it's over.
You have to distinguish between legal and illegal immigration. We still have legal immigrants coming in each year as well as the various temporary worker visa programs which have not gone away. We are in a situation where AI is going to dramatically reduce available jobs for Americans, we don't need to be importing all these workers. Despite lower domestic fertility rates, the US population continues to skyrocket. Illegal immigrants are great deal for employers as they can pay them less and pass the social costs to the working and middle class. What a deal ! They consume far more in public services than they will ever contribute.