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Home»Analysis»‘Write-Downs To Zero’: The $1.8 Trillion Private Credit Warning – Danielle DiMartino Booth
Analysis

‘Write-Downs To Zero’: The $1.8 Trillion Private Credit Warning – Danielle DiMartino Booth

By Kitco NEWSOctober 29, 202641 Comments2 Mins Read
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We are breaking down the latest Federal Reserve split, Jamie Dimon’s private credit warning, and why the K-shaped economy is masking a hidden middle-class recession. Kitco News Anchor Jeremy Szafron sits down with Fed insider Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research, to expose the real data behind the Wall Street headlines.

From the largest Fed committee dissent since 1992 to major private credit write-downs and hidden job losses in the labor market, DiMartino Booth explains why the central bank may be “too late” to the easing process. The discussion also covers commercial real estate stress, the freezing housing market, how AI is impacting temporary employment, and what Tether’s $20 billion physical gold hoard signals for the U.S. dollar and global capital flows.

Recorded May 1 2026

What is the real inflation rate you are experiencing in your city right now? Let us know in the comments below!

Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron (
Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW (
Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on X: @DiMartinoBooth (

Timestamps:
00:00 Markets Send Mixed Signals
00:57 Fed Dissent And What It Means
02:34 Warsch Era And Hidden Labor Data
05:42 Bond Yields And CRE Stress
07:12 Private Credit Cracks Widen
10:45 K Shaped Economy Reality Check
12:52 Consumers Tapped Out And Travel Slump
14:07 Housing Freeze And Layoff Pressure
15:11 Jobs Data Mirage And AI Temps
18:25 Global Flows Gold And Final Takeaways

#DanielleDiMartinoBooth #FederalReserve #PrivateCredit #Economy #KitcoNews #GoldMarket #Inflation #InterestRates #Investing
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The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.

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Post Views: 34
* Booth Commercial Real Estate CRE Crisis Credit Danielle Danielle DiMartino Booth DiMartino Economic Recession Fed Rate Cuts federal reserve finance Gold gold price inflation interest rates investment strategy Jamie Dimon jeremy szafron jerome powell Job Market K-shaped economy Kevin Warsh kitco news macroeconomics mortgage rates private Private Credit QI Research S&P 500 Earnings silver price Tether Gold Trillion us economy WARNING WriteDowns
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    41 Comments

    1. @kitco on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Danielle says the warning signs are not just in the Fed, they are showing up in private credit, commercial real estate, manufacturing and the consumer.
      What worries you most right now: debt, inflation, jobs, banks, or the dollar?

      Reply
    2. @SA-jo5cm on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      She’s out to lunch and I’m Trumps corner obviously

      Reply
    3. @josephjackson5088 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Don't worry folks, AI has our backs, everything is ok.

      Reply
    4. @doodledandee7518 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Gas in san Diego @ $6.17 gallon!!!!!!

      Reply
    5. @LKaramazov on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      She wants lower interest rates……GTFOH!

      Reply
    6. @be01420 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      I'm sorry but this woman is an idiot. "Oh great question Jeremy". No, stupid question.

      Reply
    7. @commonsense6967 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      J Powell is the only one in Trump's line of fire willing to stand up to him! So, that willingness will be missed.

      Reply
    8. @mikeburda3038 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Real Inflation will remain at over 8% for the next 10 years. : (

      Reply
    9. @male2796 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      She is spot on! 🎯

      Reply
    10. @sayedamed1870 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      People are Rich and have too much money 💰

      Reply
    11. @d.davidmairena7402 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Good video and very informative!

      Reply
    12. @johnoliver9885 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Horseshit, you’re another person who wants everything to remain ideal for the rich minority.

      Reply
    13. @carefulconsumer8682 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Interview Marc Faber also please.

      Reply
    14. @carefulconsumer8682 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Who could have seen that lending to subprime borrowers could go so bad.Danielle DiMartino Booth is spot on.

      Reply
    15. @carefulconsumer8682 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      No one can destroy the country more than Greenspan, Bernanke, and Yellen did.

      Reply
    16. @itsallfake-z5h on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Dollar is trash! You better buy bitcoin and XRP

      Reply
    17. @itsallfake-z5h on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Depression coming guaranteed! Worldwide

      Reply
    18. @shaehatfield1899 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      She hasn't been wrong yet.

      Reply
    19. @MrPlavon on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Honnêtement, J’ai bien aimé la partie stratégie, ça m’a fait réfléchir. Je fais du contenu dans la même vibe sur ma chaîne. 👏👌 Merci pour le partage.

      Reply
    20. @shawnbreshears1102 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      I love these SNL skits where they present the US Monetary System as a real functioning market. LOL ❤️ it as they joke about Fed supplied numbers being Real!

      Reply
    21. @deebolin941 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      😡😡😡😡🔥🔥🔥 TRICKLING DIWN FROM THAT TREASONOUS OBIDEN ADMINISTRATION,!!!

      Reply
    22. @ricklines8755 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Sorry, but all the problems you are lamenting up to 20:20 were not caused by socialism, but by the dedperate attemps of the kleptocracy to stamp out socialism. Why are you boosting the stupid dogma about socialism being inflationary right at the very moment that the inflation caused by the dogmatic anti-socialist elitist policies is wrecking us all? Kinda ruins your credibility, dontcha think?

      Reply
    23. @MrPlavon on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Honnêtement, J’ai bien aimé la partie stratégie, ça m’a fait réfléchir.

      Reply
    24. @PoorBoys3_ on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      BS-I can’t fly to my Memorial Day vacation destination because there aren’t available seats.
      Every restaurant in my area is FULL 7 days a week.
      Grocery stores full every weekend.
      My commute takes 45 mins to go 16 miles because so many people moved here and clog up the roads.
      Still building in my area. Apts and houses and commercial buildings.
      The doom and gloom is in areas of blue states or California entirely!
      Have friends in Seattle that say they’ve never seen anything like the exit of corporations and the lack of construction.
      Our company has had record sales, especially the last two months with no slow down anticipated.

      Reply
    25. @e341-o6h on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      They need a new fall guy .
      Would a default
      Take the Stock market
      With it.

      Reply
    26. @RudellWard on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Small business closures are linked to tariffs. How would a lower interest rate help that?

      Reply
    27. @dillonsawyer9377 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Get a bus pass

      Reply
    28. @bobbear4437 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Is this woman talking stock market economy or workers economy cause they're different!
      And this time cause Dems take over government purse in Jan in the House, Trump will get NOTHING in tax payer relief like we saw in 2008!
      Since the rich have the most money, my opinion is let them suffer, let the rates go up, let the high leveraged companies go under,(no bail outs) the stock mkt will go down 25-30%, we'll have a year of pain, and then we can reset to a common sense economy, if you don't have the money saved for most purchases you save, you don't go into unmanageable debt!
      Its like removing a band aid, Trump's put us into a no win position, and the pain will be there, either do it quick, or slowly!

      Reply
    29. @Master_Fornicator on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Relying so heavily on this “alternative data” is why she has been so wrong in calling 60 of the last 0 recessions. Oof.

      Reply
    30. @object85 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      I really don’t notice the shopping market slowing down. I mean I’ve actually cut back on eating out and I don’t take vacations in the US very much. I usually go to Europe more bang for the bucck

      Reply
    31. @penelope4885 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Omfg she is a liar. She is just repeating the lies!!! Don’t fall for this propaganda

      Reply
    32. @mjbucar on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Danielle DiMartino Booth is ALWAYS a insightful / profound speaker – thank you for having her.

      Reply
    33. @AnonymousanonymousA on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      last time i saw her she was complaing about poor people getting food stamps ALL THE TIME

      Reply
    34. @LiveMusicPlaylist on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Illuminati New World Order

      Reply
    35. @MarkRada-zb9px on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Puke. The Fed is Babylonian money magic used to enslave humanity. Period End of story. End the Fed, usery, fiat currency and fractional reserve. These ppl are demons.

      Reply
    36. @patriceh-tissier6425 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Be careful , young generation have nothing to lose today 😡 !…. They can vote for communist Muslim like New York City!… Politics didn't get it yet???. They will pay the price the next election or civil war , revolution, !… Nothing to lose here like Europe today ,!… Enjoy the tsunami coming 🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊🐑💉💥🪾💸

      Reply
    37. @_Thoughtful_Aquarius_ on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      Always great content from Danielle DiMartino Booth!

      Reply
    38. @_Thoughtful_Aquarius_ on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      💸

      Reply
    39. @TateChesbrough on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      ALWAYS WORTH FOLLOWING.

      Reply
    40. @ronaldmiller3619 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      She is a smart cookie

      Reply
    41. @ronaldmiller3619 on October 29, 2026 8:38 pm

      I live on a lake all yr, thats my vacation. Live in the woods of Mn. Wouldn't live in the cities. More people moving out of cities. Cost of education is out of control. Go 4 yrs and cant find a job.

      Reply
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